Atlanta United v Houston Dynamo | Predictions & Odds (2024)

Atlanta United v Houston Dynamo | Predictions & Odds (1) Atlanta United v Houston Dynamo | Predictions & Odds (2)

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Major League Soccer, and Gonzalo Pineda Reyes’s Atlanta United will have the blessing of it on Sunday morning. Ben Olsen’s Houston Dynamo are their visitors to the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Major League Soccer statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for every betting markets via the tabs.

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Atlanta United's next match is v DC at 00:30 on Thursday 20th June
Houston Dynamo's next match is v Seattle at 01:30 on Thursday 20th June

The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Atlanta and HoustonwasonSunday 16th June 2024

American Major League Soccer

June 16th 2024

Atlanta 2

2 Houston

D. Ríos Calderón 25'5' F. Escobar
A. Costa Silva 55'89' L. Blessing

ATL

HOU

Shots On

5

9

Shots Off

5

7

Corners

4

6

Possession

52%

48%

Fouls

12

16

Yellow/red cards

1/0

4/0

AtlantaHouston
B. Guzan
D. Williams
B. Lennon
C. Wiley
N. Cobb
D. McCarty
T. Almada
T. Muyumba Nkita
D. Ríos CalderónAtlanta United v Houston Dynamo | Predictions & Odds (3) (J. Thiaré 76')
A. Costa SilvaAtlanta United v Houston Dynamo | Predictions & Odds (4) (A. Fortune 80')
E. Mosquera Palacios (L. Brennan 18')
S. Clark
Atlanta United v Houston Dynamo | Predictions & Odds (5)F. Escobar
M. dos Santos Silva
(T. Schmitt 76') E. Sviatchenko
G. Dorsey
(C. Ferreira Vidal 76') S. Kowalczyk
H. Herrera López
A. Carrasquilla Alcázar
(E. Bartlow 90') A. Bassi
J. de Lima Junior
(L. Blessing 67') A. Ibrahim

Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of strong, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective bosses Gonzalo Pineda Reyes or Ben Olsen find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Recent form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, show that doesn't seem likely.

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In-Play

Win / Draw / Win

Over / Under 1.5 Goals

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Over / Under 3.5 Goals

Win To Nil

Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

Both Teams To Score & Result

Double Chance

Half Time / Full Time

Over / Under 0.5 Goals

Over / Under 4.5 Goals

Over / Under 5.5 Goals

Draw No Bet

Team To Score First

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atlanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Over 1.5 goals is at 81% in our algorithmic predictions, suggesting we should get at least a couple of goals to entertain us on Sunday morning. It’s the most probable outcome in this market, and is available at 1.20.

There should be plenty of goalmouth action in this one – we’re predicting that there’s a 59% chance of Atlanta v Houston having 3 goals or more. ‘Over 2.5 goals’ is the most probable outcome in this market, and is available at a best price of 1.62.

We do not expect there to be more than 3 goals in total in this fixture. Our algorithm predicts a 63% chance of ‘Under 3.5 goals’, making it the most likely outcome in the ‘Over/under 3.5 goals’ market.

Atlanta supporters will be over the moon if their side can win this game and keep a clean sheet in the process. We give them a 20% chance of doing so on Sunday morning, and the bookies have Atlanta to win to nil priced at 4.20.

There is a 61% chance of both teams scoring within the 90 minutes of this match, as calculated by KickOff’s predictive algorithm. That makes ‘BTTS – yes’ the most probable outcome in this market, and it’s available at a best price of 1.57.

Atlanta 1-1 Houston is the most probable final scoreline in this match, according to our predictive algorithm. Our calculations suggest there’s a 11% chance of this being the case.

There is rarely an outstanding favourite in the correct score market, however. Goals can be scored at any time, and even the most prolific team can have an off day. We’ve listed out the 15 most likely scorelines below, along with odds from the best bookmakers. As you can see, there’s not a lot between them.

Both teams scoring on Sunday morning while Atlanta claim victory is the most probable outcome in the ‘Both teams to score & result’ market. The chance of this happening is placed at 24% by our predictive algorithm, while it’s available at a best price of 3.60.

The best bet in the ‘Double chance’ market would be ‘Home win/away win’, according to our predictive algorithm. This means that either side can win the match, but a draw is ruled out. We’ve given that outcome a 76% likelihood, and the bookies price it at 1.29.

Atlanta leading the game at half time, and going on to win the match at full time is the most probable outcome according to KickOff’s predictive algorithm. We place ‘Atlanta/Atlanta’ at 24% probability, and the bookies’ best price on it is 3.40.

There is a 95% chance of Atlanta and Houston scoring 1 goal or more between them on Sunday morning, making ‘Over 0.5 goals’ the most likely outcome in this market. The best price available on this is 1.03.

It looks highly unlikely that this fixture will have more than 4 goals. In fact, our algorithmplaces the probability at just 80%. ‘Under 4.5 goals’ is therefore the most likely outcome, and is available at 1.20.

We're very confident in predicting that this game will have fewer than 5 goals in total. Our algorithm places ‘Under 5.5 goals’ at a 91% probability, making it by far the most likely outcome in this market.

Atlanta DNB is the most likely outcome in this market, according to KickOff’s predictive algorithm. This means that Atlanta winning would deliver a winning bet, or your stake would be refunded should the game end level. We’re giving a 61% probability on this one, and the best odds with the bookies are 1.53.

Atlanta are the most likely side to open the scoring on Sunday morning, with our predictive algorithm giving them a 51% chance of scoring first. Will they get the job done? If you think so, you can back them at 1.67.

Change odds

Predictions Add Bet365 Coral

Atlanta

45%

11/1010%1/18%

Draw

24%

3/111%5/23%

Houston

32%

2/120%19/1017%

Draw 1-1

11%

7/114%6/18%

Atlanta 2-1

9%

8/16%7/17%

Atlanta 1-0

8%

10/116%17/219%

Houston 2-1

7%

10/115%17/214%

Atlanta 2-0

7%

12/130%10/116%

Houston 1-0

6%

12/113%10/1

Draw 2-2

6%

11/19/19%

Atlanta 3-1

5%

14/111/19%

Draw 0-0

5%

18/127%12/118%

Houston 2-0

4%

18/110%14/112%

Atlanta 3-0

4%

20/124%14/115%

Atlanta 3-2

4%

20/114/1

Houston 3-1

3%

20/128%16/111%

Houston 3-2

3%

22/121%16/119%

Atlanta 4-1

2%

28/120/111%

Over 2.5 Goals

59%

8/157%-

Under 2.5 Goals

41%

7/59%-

Home 1st Goal

51%

4/66%-

Away 1st Goal

47%

6/512%-

No 1st Goal

3%

18/127%-

BTTS - Yes

61%

1/27%1/24%

BTTS - No

39%

6/414%29/209%

BTTS - Home Win

24%

5/223/10

BTTS - Draw

19%

7/24%16/53%

BTTS - Away Win

18%

15/427%18/520%

Home/draw

68%

4/119%7/208%

Away/draw

55%

7/107%7/108%

Home/away

76%

2/95%1/43%

Over 1.5 Goals

81%

1/63%-

Under 1.5 Goals

19%

4/115%-

Over 3.5 Goals

37%

11/89%-

Under 3.5 Goals

63%

8/156%-

Over 4.5 Goals

20%

3/120%-

Under 4.5 Goals

80%

2/94%-

Over 5.5 Goals

9%

7/120%-

Under 5.5 Goals

91%

1/122%-

Over 0.5 Goals

95%

1/401%-

Under 0.5 Goals

5%

16/113%-

Home DNB

61%

8/1316%11/2011%

Away DNB

48%

6/520%13/1015%

Atlanta win to nil

20%

10/315%-

Houston win to nil

14%

11/219%-

Atlanta / Atlanta

24%

12/513%9/48%

Atlanta / Houston

3%

25/110%20/19%

Atlanta / Draw

6%

12/111/1

Draw / Atlanta

15%

9/210%17/49%

Draw / Houston

11%

13/212%6/113%

Draw / Draw

13%

11/28%19/410%

Houston / Atlanta

4%

20/116/1

Houston / Houston

16%

4/117%19/520%

Houston / Draw

6%

12/113%11/1

Atlanta United v Houston Dynamo | Predictions & Odds (84)

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Win / draw / win form

Atlanta 13TH

20 league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

47

Conceded

30

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

9

D

4

Lost

7

see results

HOME FORM
Atlanta2 - 3Charlotte
Atlanta0 - 1LAFC
Atlanta2 - 3DC
Atlanta1 - 2Minnesota
Atlanta1 - 2Cincinnati
Atlanta2 - 2Philadelphia
Atlanta3 - 0Chicago
Atlanta2 - 0Orlando
Atlanta4 - 1New England
Atlanta4 - 2Columbus
Atlanta1 - 1Columbus
Atlanta4 - 1Montreal
Atlanta5 - 2Miami
Atlanta1 - 2Cincinnati
Atlanta4 - 0Nashville
Atlanta1 - 2Orlando
Atlanta2 - 0Philadelphia
Atlanta2 - 2NY City
Atlanta3 - 1DC
Atlanta3 - 3New England

Goals: Scored

29

Conceded

30

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

5

Draw

5

Lost

10

see results

OVERALL FORM
HAtlanta2 - 3Charlotte
AAtlanta3 - 1Miami
HAtlanta0 - 1LAFC
AAtlanta1 - 1Nashville
AAtlanta0 - 1Cincinnati
HAtlanta2 - 3DC
HAtlanta1 - 2Minnesota
AAtlanta0 - 0Chicago
HAtlanta1 - 2Cincinnati
HAtlanta2 - 2Philadelphia
AAtlanta1 - 1NY City
HAtlanta3 - 0Chicago
AAtlanta0 - 2Toronto
HAtlanta2 - 0Orlando
HAtlanta4 - 1New England
AAtlanta0 - 1Columbus
AAtlanta2 - 4Columbus
HAtlanta4 - 2Columbus
AAtlanta0 - 2Columbus
HAtlanta1 - 1Columbus

Houston

20 league games

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

21

Conceded

29

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

6

Draw

5

Lost

9

see results

AWAY FORM
Portland2 - 2Houston
LA Galaxy2 - 1Houston
Austin1 - 0Houston
Kansas City1 - 2Houston
Dallas2 - 0Houston
Minnesota1 - 2Houston
Chicago2 - 1Houston
Colorado0 - 1Houston
Salt Lake1 - 1Houston
Portland1 - 3Houston
Montreal1 - 1Houston
Kansas City2 - 1Houston
LA Galaxy0 - 0Houston
Salt Lake0 - 3Houston
Colorado0 - 0Houston
Seattle1 - 0Houston
Austin3 - 0Houston
LAFC0 - 1Houston
Saint Louis City3 - 0Houston
Vancouver6 - 2Houston

Goals: Scored

25

Conceded

22

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

8

Draw

6

Lost

6

see results

OVERALL FORM
AHouston2 - 2Portland
HHouston3 - 1Colorado
AHouston1 - 2LA Galaxy
HHouston1 - 1Dallas
AHouston0 - 1Austin
AHouston2 - 1Kansas City
HHouston0 - 0Saint Louis City
AHouston0 - 2Dallas
HHouston0 - 1Austin
AHouston2 - 1Minnesota
AHouston1 - 2Chicago
HHouston2 - 1San Jose
AHouston1 - 0Colorado
HHouston1 - 0Portland
HHouston1 - 2New York
HHouston1 - 1Kansas City
HHouston1 - 1Salt Lake
AHouston1 - 1Salt Lake
HHouston2 - 1Salt Lake
AHouston3 - 1Portland

Goal Statistics

Atlanta United's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Houston Dynamo have conceded in each of their last 6 Major League Soccer games. A PG of 1.7 for Gonzalo Pineda Reyes's side suggests that run should continue.

Atlanta 13th Houston th

Kickoff prediction

Kickoff prediction

1.7

goals

1.4

goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability

19%

1

31%

2

26%

3

15%

4+

9%

There is a 81% probability that Atlanta will score 1 or more goals

25%

1

35%

2

24%

3

11%

4+

There is a 75% probability that Houston will score 1 or more goals

20 home / away league games

20 home / away league games

+24

Atlanta have scored 24%moregoals at home than predicted

-11

Houston have scored 11%fewergoals when away than predicted

2.4

average goals scored

1.1

average goals scored

1.5

conceded

1.5

conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2024/2024 season

Atlanta

PG (predicted goals)

Houston

1.7

1.4

Attack rating

ATL

HOU

1%

better

view stats

Games scored1213
Failed to score54
Scored first810
Goals scored2420
Avg. goals scored1.41.2
Avg. shots per game1211
Avg. shots per goal89
Conversion rate12%11%
KickOff rating

+1%

Defence rating

ATL

HOU

8%

better

view stats

Games conceded1414
Clean sheets33
Conceded first86
Goals conceded2320
Avg. goals conceded1.41.2
Avg. shots/game conceded1010
Avg. shots/goal conceded89
Conversion rate13%12%
KickOff rating

+8%

Atlanta v Houston Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here whenavailable.

Atlanta Major League Soccer squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17444
B LennonT AlmadaB LennonB Lennon
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Guzan GLK15

2

1

B Lennon DEF174

4

-

N Cobb DEF12

-

D Williams DEF10

1

-

C Wiley DEF1612

2

-

D McCarty MID10

-

T Muyumba MID172

3

-

E Mosquera MID143

2

-

T Almada MID1541

4

-

X Silva MID122

2

-

D Ríos FWD1021

-

Subs
J Cohen GLK3

-

Q Westberg GLK

-

R Pimentel DEF5

-

E. Morales DEF2

-

L Brennan MID1

-

N Firmino MID6

-

A Fortune MID101

1

-

J Thiaré FWD114

-

Most goals
Most shots
on target
Most assists
Most big
chances
417420
T AlmadaT AlmadaB LennonB Lennon
Line-upgoalsshots
on
Assistsbig
chances
T Almada MID417120
X Silva MID285
D Ríos FWD2611
C Wiley DEF12214
B Lennon DEF420
N Cobb DEF1
D Williams DEF32
D McCarty MID5
T Muyumba MID128
E Mosquera MID336
Subs
J Thiaré FWD451
R Pimentel DEF1
L Brennan MID1
N Firmino MID1
A Fortune MID111
Most passesMost tacklesMost duels won
8384996
T AlmadaT MuyumbaT Muyumba
Line-uppassestacklesduels won
T Almada MID8381570
T Muyumba MID7904996
B Lennon DEF7513268
C Wiley DEF7232456
B Guzan GLK5296
N Cobb DEF5281132
D Williams DEF4861134
D McCarty MID3171727
X Silva MID2311849
E Mosquera MID163932
D Ríos FWD91727
Subs
A Fortune MID152614
R Pimentel DEF11837
E. Morales DEF9915
J Cohen GLK68
J Thiaré FWD57238
N Firmino MID50110
L Brennan MID125

Houston Major League Soccer squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17435
ArturI AliyuA BassiS Kowalczyk
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Clark GLK14

1

-

G Dorsey DEF162

3

1

E Sviatchenko DEF14

1

-

Micael DEF16

4

-

F Escobar DEF102

4

-

A Carrasquilla MID1612

4

-

H Herrera MID911

1

-

Artur MID171

2

-

S Kowalczyk FWD163

5

-

A Bassi FWD1523

1

-

I Aliyu FWD1743

2

-

Subs
A Tarbell GLK4

-

B Smith DEF121

-

E Bartlow DEF101

-

D Steres DEF91

2

-

T Schmitt DEF10

1

-

B Raines MID7

1

-

L Blessing MID133

-

J Gregus MID6

-

S Ferreira FWD511

2

-

Most goals
Most shots
on target
Most assists
Most big
chances
417314
I AliyuI AliyuA BassiH Herrera
Line-upgoalsshots
on
Assistsbig
chances
I Aliyu FWD41738
S Kowalczyk FWD384
F Escobar DEF241
A Bassi FWD212313
A Carrasquilla MID17211
H Herrera MID14114
G Dorsey DEF4210
E Sviatchenko DEF92
Micael DEF21
Artur MID513
Subs
L Blessing MID351
B Smith DEF121
S Ferreira FWD1111
E Bartlow DEF1
D Steres DEF114
T Schmitt DEF3
Most passesMost tacklesMost duels won
11403878
ArturArturI Aliyu
Line-uppassestacklesduels won
Artur MID11403870
Micael DEF10212067
A Bassi FWD794847
A Carrasquilla MID7611965
H Herrera MID6051033
E Sviatchenko DEF5571361
G Dorsey DEF5182069
S Kowalczyk FWD4641150
F Escobar DEF4293056
I Aliyu FWD4092378
S Clark GLK3564
Subs
E Bartlow DEF4921638
D Steres DEF4061644
J Gregus MID308415
T Schmitt DEF273716
L Blessing MID142931
B Raines MID11728
B Smith DEF103711
A Tarbell GLK76
S Ferreira FWD4015

American Major League Soccer match betting previews, predictionsandodds

Toronto v NashvilleThu 20th Jun, 00:30DC v AtlantaThu 20th Jun, 00:30Charlotte v OrlandoThu 20th Jun, 00:30Miami v ColumbusThu 20th Jun, 00:30Montreal v New YorkThu 20th Jun, 00:30Cincinnati v PhiladelphiaThu 20th Jun, 00:45Saint Louis City v ColoradoThu 20th Jun, 01:30Austin v LAFCThu 20th Jun, 01:30Dallas v MinnesotaThu 20th Jun, 01:30Houston v SeattleThu 20th Jun, 01:30Kansas City v Salt LakeThu 20th Jun, 01:30San Jose v PortlandThu 20th Jun, 03:30LA Galaxy v NY CityThu 20th Jun, 03:30
Atlanta United v Houston Dynamo | Predictions & Odds (2024)

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